Monday, October 13, 2008

A strategic voting trio: Ancaster, Oshawa, Saanich

Scott Tribe encourages to vote strategically to defeat Harper. In the spirit of this, I offer three ridings where voters should vote strategically in favour of a Liberal, an NDP, and a Green, respectively.

In Ancaster-Dundas-Flamborough-Westdale (part of western Hamilton), NDP and Green voters who want to defeat Harper should vote Liberal, as is clear from earlier election results:
      2000*2004 2006
      Lib 41.2% 39.7% 34.5%
      NDP 7.8% 20.9% 21.3%
      Green n/a 4.8% 4.4%
      Con CA: 31.6%
      PC 19.5%
      34.6% 39.1%
In Oshawa, Liberals and Greens should vote NDP.
      2000*2004 2006
      Lib 34% 30.5% 24%
      NDP 8.8% 32.3% 33.4%
      Green n/a 3.9% 3.8%
      Con CA: 22.9%
      PC 11.9%
      33.3% 38.6%
In Saanich—Gulf Islands, the NDP-candidate has withdrawn; NDs and Liberals should vote Green.
      2000*2004 2006
      Lib 32.3% 26.8% 26.0%
      NDP 8% 21.6% 26.6%
      Green n/a 16.7% 9.9%
      Con CA: 43.1%
      PC 10.28%
      34.6% 37.1%
    *In 2000, the Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative party had not yet merged, and some of these ridings were differently configured.