Monday, October 12, 2015

Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP

Strategic tactical voting in Courtney-Alberni
Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni
Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and

The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote in 2011, over the 2nd place NDPer with 43%.

The new riding is slightly less favourable to Duncan.  If the 2011 votes are redistributed within its boundaries, the Conservative would have received 45%, the NDP 41%, the Greens and Liberals both at 7%.

By itself this should mean that strategic voters should support the NDP.

As it happens, a recent poll conducted by Insights West (Sept. 13) confirms that. It found that support in the riding at: Con. 33%, NDP 39%, Lib. 13%, Green 12%.

Update, Oct. 15.  A new poll for BC from Insights West (pdf) confirms that strategic voters in Courtney-Alberni should vote NDP:

Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni
Polls in Courtney-Alberni


Again it is fairly clear that the NDP have the best choice for strategic voters who want to avoid vote splitting and defeat the Conservatives.

Votetogether.ca is expected to make a call for strategic voting in Courney-Alberni soon.

Update. A new poll (Oct. 13) shows that strategic voters should support the NDP.
Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni
New poll in Courtney-Alberni


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